Alien invasive species pose a rising threat to biodiversity worldwide. Effective management of these species requires accurate predictions regarding their current and future suitable habitats; however, there is little information on their suitability and dispersal patterns. Therefore, we analyzed the habitat suitability of Asian pied starling (Sturnus contra Linnaeus, 1758) a species with high invasion potential. We used global occurrence records for the Asian pied starling and applied an ensemble model to predict their current and future worldwide habitat suitability. We also used ensemble models to predict and identify global suitable regions for the Asian pied starling and areas that might be most at risk of further invasion. To do so, we utilized a series of pessimistic and optimistic scenarios of climate change by 2050 and 2070 to model suitable habitats in the future and draw key recommendations for wildlife managers based on model simulations. We found that although Asian pied starling has not been observed in these regions, extensive areas in Latin America, Asia, Oceania, Africa, and small parts of Europe are potential suitable habitats for this species. Under all climate change scenarios, habitat suitability for Asian pied starling increased in Africa, Asia, Europe, and America. The greatest increases were predicted under SSP585 in 2070 with approximately 18% Africa, 17% Asia, 1% Europe, 15% America, and 18% of Oceania becoming suitable for this species. Oceania was the only continent predicted to experience a decrease in areas facing invasion by Asian pied starling. The results of this study showed that suitable habitats of Asian pied starling facilitated by environmental variables is vast, and far larger than its current geographical distribution.

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