Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, ( ISI ), Volume (96), No (13), Year (2016-4) , Pages (4465-4474)

Title : ( Vulnerability of maize production under future climate change: possible adaptation strategies )

Authors: Mohammad Bannayan Aval , Parisa Paymard , Batool Ashraf ,

Citation: BibTeX | EndNote

Climate change can affect the productivity and geographic distribution of crops. Therefore, evaluation of adaptive management options is very crucial in dealing with negative impacts of climate change. The objectives of this study were to simulate the impacts of climate change on maize production in the northeast of Iran. Moreover, vulnerability index which indicated that how much of the crop yield loss is related to the drought was computed for each location to identify where adaptation and mitigation strategies are effective. Different sowing dates were also applied as an adaptation approach to decrease the negative impacts of climate change in study area. RESULTS: The results showed that the maize yield would decline during 21st century from -2.6% to -82% at all study locations in comparison with the baseline. The result of vulnerability index also indicated that using the adaptation strategies could be effective in all of the study areas. Using different sowing dates as an adaptation approach showed that delaying the sowing date will be advantageous in order to obtain higher yield in all study locations in future.

Keywords

, DSSAT; LARS, WG; Maize; Vulnerability
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@article{paperid:1055494,
author = {Bannayan Aval, Mohammad and Parisa Paymard and Ashraf, Batool},
title = {Vulnerability of maize production under future climate change: possible adaptation strategies},
journal = {Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture},
year = {2016},
volume = {96},
number = {13},
month = {April},
issn = {0022-5142},
pages = {4465--4474},
numpages = {9},
keywords = {DSSAT; LARS-WG; Maize; Vulnerability index},
}

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%0 Journal Article
%T Vulnerability of maize production under future climate change: possible adaptation strategies
%A Bannayan Aval, Mohammad
%A Parisa Paymard
%A Ashraf, Batool
%J Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture
%@ 0022-5142
%D 2016

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