International Journal of Mechanical Engineering, Volume (7), No (4), Year (2022-5) , Pages (1222-1233)

Title : ( The Status of Qaen City in Regional Development of North of Southern Khorasan Based on Future Studies Approach: Scenario Planning )

Authors: marziyhe amini , Mohammad Ajza Shokouhi , Barat Ali Khakpoor , Mohammad Rahim Rahnama ,

Citation: BibTeX | EndNote

Abstract

Future study is a purposeful organized process, resulting in gathering key actions of science and technology to draw a feasible future and the ways to achieve such a future. The current study addressed the future development of Qaen city using the futur e study approach and based on the scenario planning and aimed to identify the key components of the regional develo pment and draw a desirable future of Qaen city based on the future study. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive - analytical in terms of new methods of future study. The data collection method was document and field studies, and the data process models are Delphi and Scenario planning. In total, 2 strong scenarios, 12 believable scenarios, and 242 poor scenario s were obtained in the current research using Scenario Wizard software and forming the cross-impact matrix of 30×30. According to research results, there are three scenarios with a high probability of occurrence for the future conditions of Qaen city. I n the first scenario, which is called balanced development, there are desirable conditions based on the relative economic growth, Gross National Product, industrial and production prosperity, investment in the province, desirable policies, development of the universities, investment security, desirable production technology, favorable job creation, and improving the main roads. It is also the most desirable scenario for improving the status of Qaen city in regional development.

Keywords

Future Study; Regional Development; Scenario Planning; Qaen city
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@article{paperid:1090278,
author = {Amini, Marziyhe and Ajza Shokouhi, Mohammad and Khakpoor, Barat Ali and Rahnama, Mohammad Rahim},
title = {The Status of Qaen City in Regional Development of North of Southern Khorasan Based on Future Studies Approach: Scenario Planning},
journal = {International Journal of Mechanical Engineering},
year = {2022},
volume = {7},
number = {4},
month = {May},
issn = {0974-5823},
pages = {1222--1233},
numpages = {11},
keywords = {Future Study; Regional Development; Scenario Planning; Qaen city},
}

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%0 Journal Article
%T The Status of Qaen City in Regional Development of North of Southern Khorasan Based on Future Studies Approach: Scenario Planning
%A Amini, Marziyhe
%A Ajza Shokouhi, Mohammad
%A Khakpoor, Barat Ali
%A Rahnama, Mohammad Rahim
%J International Journal of Mechanical Engineering
%@ 0974-5823
%D 2022

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