Title : ( Simulation of Heavy Lake-Effect Snowstorms across the Great Lakes Basin by RegCM4: Synoptic Climatology and Variability. )
Authors: Michael Notaro , Azar Zarrin , Steve Vavrus , Val Bennington ,Access to full-text not allowed by authors
Abstract
A historical simulation (1976-2002) of the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics Regional Climate Model Version 4 (ICTP RegCM4), coupled to a one dimensional lake model, is validated against observed lake ice cover and snowfall across the Great Lakes Basin. The model reproduces the broad temporal and spatial features of both variables in terms of spatial distribution, seasonal cycle, and interannual variability, including climatological characteristics of lake-effect snowfall, although the simulated ice cover is overly extensive largely due to the absence of lake circulations. A definition is introduced for identifying heavy lake-effect snowstorms in regional climate model output for all grid cells in the Great Lakes Basin, using criteria based on location, wind direction, lake ice cover, and snowfall. Simulated heavy lake-effect snowstorms occur most frequently downwind of the Great Lakes, particularly to the east of Lake Ontario and to the east and south of Lake Superior, and are most frequent in December-January. The mechanism for these events is attributed to an anticyclone over the central United States and related cold air outbreak for areas downwind of Lakes Ontario and Erie, in contrast to a nearby cyclone over the Great Lakes Basin and associated cold front for areas downwind of Lakes Superior, Huron, and Michigan.
Keywords
, Great Lakes, Lake Effect\\\'s Snow storms, RegCM4, Regional climate Modeling@article{paperid:1032966,
author = {Michael Notaro and Zarrin, Azar and Steve Vavrus and Val Bennington},
title = {Simulation of Heavy Lake-Effect Snowstorms across the Great Lakes Basin by RegCM4: Synoptic Climatology and Variability.},
journal = {Monthly Weather Review},
year = {2013},
volume = {141},
number = {7},
month = {July},
issn = {0027-0644},
pages = {1990--2014},
numpages = {24},
keywords = {Great Lakes; Lake Effect\\\'s Snow storms; RegCM4; Regional climate Modeling},
}
%0 Journal Article
%T Simulation of Heavy Lake-Effect Snowstorms across the Great Lakes Basin by RegCM4: Synoptic Climatology and Variability.
%A Michael Notaro
%A Zarrin, Azar
%A Steve Vavrus
%A Val Bennington
%J Monthly Weather Review
%@ 0027-0644
%D 2013