AGU Fall Meeting , 2015-12-14

Title : ( Applicability of AgMERRA forcing dataset to fill the gaps in historical in-situ meteorological data, case study: Iran )

Authors: Mohammad Bannayan Aval , Azam Lashkari Tokhmmarz , Hossein Zare , Sara Asadi , Nasrin Salehnia ,

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Integrated assessment studies of food production systems uses crop models to simulate the effects of climate and socio-economic changes on food security. Climate forcing data is one of those key inputs in crop models. This study evaluated the performance of AgMERRA climate forcing dataset to fill gaps in historical in-situ meteorological data for different climatic regions of Iran. AgMERRA dataset intercompared with in- situ observational dataset for daily maximum and minimum temperature and precipitation during 1980-2010 periods via Root Mean Square error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Bias Error (MBE) for 17 stations in four climatic regions included humid and moderate, cold, dry and arid, hot and humid. Moreover, probability distribution function and cumulative distribution function compared between model and observed data. The results of measures of agreement between AgMERRA data and observed data demonstrated that there are small errors in model data in all stations. Except for stations which are located in cold regions, model data in the other stations illustrated under-prediction for daily maximum temperature and precipitation. However, it was not significant. In addition, probability distribution function and cumulative distribution function showed the same trend for all stations between model and observed data. Therefore, the reliability of AgMERRA dataset is high to fill gaps in historical observations in different climatic regions of Iran as well as it could be applied as a basis for future climate scenarios.

Keywords

food production systemsو AgMERRA climate datasetو temperature and
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@inproceedings{paperid:1054619,
author = {Bannayan Aval, Mohammad and Lashkari Tokhmmarz, Azam and Zare, Hossein and Asadi, Sara and Salehnia, Nasrin},
title = {Applicability of AgMERRA forcing dataset to fill the gaps in historical in-situ meteorological data, case study: Iran},
booktitle = {AGU Fall Meeting},
year = {2015},
location = {سانفرانسیسکو, USA},
keywords = {food production systemsو AgMERRA climate datasetو temperature and precipitation},
}

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%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Applicability of AgMERRA forcing dataset to fill the gaps in historical in-situ meteorological data, case study: Iran
%A Bannayan Aval, Mohammad
%A Lashkari Tokhmmarz, Azam
%A Zare, Hossein
%A Asadi, Sara
%A Salehnia, Nasrin
%J AGU Fall Meeting
%D 2015

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