Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, ( ISI ), Volume (411), Year (2022-9)

Title : ( Computational analysis of the behavior of stochastic volatility models with financial applications )

Authors: Salman Yazdani , M. Hadizadeh , Vahid Fakoor ,

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Abstract

Volatility estimation is an important issue in certain aspects of the financial community, such as risk management and asset pricing. It is known that stock returns often exhibit volatility clustering and the tails of the distributions of these series are fatter than the normal distribution. As a response to the need of these issues, the high unconditional volatility of assets encourages the users to predict their price in an ever changing market environment. Our main focus in this paper is to study the behavior of returns and volatility dynamics of some general stochastic economic models. First, we apply the local polynomial kernel smoothing method based on nonparametric regression to estimate the mean and the variance of the returns. We then implement and develop an empirical likelihood procedure in terms of conditional variance on daily log returns for inference on the nonparametric stochastic volatility as well as to construct a confidence interval for the volatility function. It appears that the proposed algorithm is applicable to some popular financial models and represents a good fit for the behavior observed in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Some numerical results in connection to real data on the S&P 500 index and highly volatile Bitcoin dataset are also illustrated.

Keywords

Stochastic volatility; Empirical likelihood; Local polynomial regression; Computational finance; Nonparametric methods
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@article{paperid:1089391,
author = {Salman Yazdani and M. Hadizadeh and Fakoor, Vahid},
title = {Computational analysis of the behavior of stochastic volatility models with financial applications},
journal = {Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics},
year = {2022},
volume = {411},
month = {September},
issn = {0377-0427},
keywords = {Stochastic volatility; Empirical likelihood; Local polynomial regression; Computational finance; Nonparametric methods},
}

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%0 Journal Article
%T Computational analysis of the behavior of stochastic volatility models with financial applications
%A Salman Yazdani
%A M. Hadizadeh
%A Fakoor, Vahid
%J Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics
%@ 0377-0427
%D 2022

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