Title : ( Projection of the climate change fluctuations impacts on the Standardized Precipitation Index of AqQala city in Iran )
Authors: Mahya Eskafi , Ghasem Panahi , Alireza Faridhosseini , Saeed Reza Khodashenas ,
دانلود فایل برای اعضای دانشگاهAccess to full-text not allowed by authors
Abstract
With the development of communities, the demand for water resources and greenhouse gas emissions are increasing. It is a severe threat to the hydrological cycle. This research studies the projection of the climate change impacts on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in AqQala urban area in Iran. The monthly climate change fluctuations were investigated using the GFDL-ESM4 model under the (Shared Socio-economic Pathways) SSP5-8.5 scenario for the future period. The 12-month SPI was calculated to evaluate drought in the future compared to the base period in AqQala city. The results indicated that temperature and evapotranspiration will increase, and precipitation will decrease in the future compared to the base period in AqQala city. Moderate drought will occur in different years in this region. The drought will be neutral under the SSP5-8.5 scenario in the future period in AqQala area.
Keywords
, Climate Change, CMIP6, SPI, GFDL-ESM4 model.
@inproceedings{paperid:1093258,
author = {Eskafi, Mahya and Panahi, Ghasem and Faridhosseini, Alireza and Khodashenas, Saeed Reza},
title = {Projection of the climate change fluctuations impacts on the Standardized Precipitation Index of AqQala city in Iran},
booktitle = {3rd IAHR Young Professionals Congress},
year = {2022},
keywords = {Climate Change; CMIP6; SPI; GFDL-ESM4 model.},
}
%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Projection of the climate change fluctuations impacts on the Standardized Precipitation Index of AqQala city in Iran
%A Eskafi, Mahya
%A Panahi, Ghasem
%A Faridhosseini, Alireza
%A Khodashenas, Saeed Reza
%J 3rd IAHR Young Professionals Congress
%D 2022
